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Oct 29, 2012
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poll, obama is still looking fairly strong in ohio. i guess if you had to put your savings somewhere you would probably say -- chris: so an electoral victory but a popular vote loss. >> my head says the seam thing but my gut is saying what i started this segment with. beats me. i mean, really. romney had to pass a major test. and he passed it. chris: in the first debate. >> in the first debate. these debates are about one thing and one thing only. whether or not you want to have this guy in your house for the next four years. chris: once he's in the house, hard to get him out. >> i agree. i agree with this completely. >> that obama spent the entire summer trying to con -- convince people you don't want this guy in your house and romney turned that around. chris: once he is in the leaving room -- in the living room watching tv -- i'm more skeptical of people saying i feel good about this. wait a minute. anyway, heerks the president hitting mitt romney as the change you can't believe in. >> there's no more serious issue in a presidential
poll, obama is still looking fairly strong in ohio. i guess if you had to put your savings somewhere you would probably say -- chris: so an electoral victory but a popular vote loss. >> my head says the seam thing but my gut is saying what i started this segment with. beats me. i mean, really. romney had to pass a major test. and he passed it. chris: in the first debate. >> in the first debate. these debates are about one thing and one thing only. whether or not you want to have...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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i know talking to the obama campaign. i know they think it's not that close, but they know it's tight. governor hickenlooper, you start, what's decisive? what tips the scales in your state and in this election? >> well i think if you look at the mess that president obama inherited and i mean losing 800,000 jobs a month, month after month, the first few months of his presidency. he's turned it around, got 32 months of job creation, 5.2 million jobs. the national export initiative, exports were up 38%. i think people are going to hear that and i think they're going to recognize that governor romney's plan of adding $2 trillion to military spending and at the same time promising $5 trillion of tax cuts to largely skewed to the wealthier parts of the population, without any specifics, right? i mean it's like trying to sell a pig in a poke. what are those deductions and tax credits he's going to get rid of? are we going to lose the home mortgage deduction? the deduction for giving for philanthropic organizations? like churches
i know talking to the obama campaign. i know they think it's not that close, but they know it's tight. governor hickenlooper, you start, what's decisive? what tips the scales in your state and in this election? >> well i think if you look at the mess that president obama inherited and i mean losing 800,000 jobs a month, month after month, the first few months of his presidency. he's turned it around, got 32 months of job creation, 5.2 million jobs. the national export initiative, exports...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't think that makes, you know, nate silver or myself or anyone else who stairs at the polls and says obama is favored, you know, being incredibly insightful. polls are right and pollsters get the credit. if obama loses i don't think nate silver should be panned out. i don't think either. >> never pan you. >> you could use your wizardry to answer this question. isn't it quite possible at this point in terms of electoral college when you're looking at the key battleground states the president has a lead in most them. isn't it possible the president w
the poll says obama will win in the swing states. nate silver says obama is ahead in the swing states and win the electoral college. the polls are usually right. the model acknowledges the polls could be wrong. that chance is at 15% based on the same sort of analysis i gave earlier that look there are a few examples when the polls are off this much. ken buck, sharon engel, hilary and obama in new hampshire but more the exception than rule therefore obama is the favorite. if obama wins i don't...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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most of the polls show obama ahead. i tend to believe that obama has a better get out the vote organization. the republicans have proven in wisconsin and n the recall that they can play on that turf which makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what is happening to the eastern seaboard. it's gone farther west on the hurricane and inflicted blizzard. but politically, is this something that is to the advantage of the president. can they actually move a point or two? >> i think first, it froze the race. there has not been a lot of movement. the media has been focused on sandy and less on the presidential campaign. second of all, think it's going to affect, it can affect turnout but most places like new jersey and new york. i'm not sure it's going to have an effect. on the other hand t
most of the polls show obama ahead. i tend to believe that obama has a better get out the vote organization. the republicans have proven in wisconsin and n the recall that they can play on that turf which makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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most in the polls blame george w. bush more than barack obama for the way conditions were when he came in. when ask you are we better off now than four years ago, people remember four years ago the economy was going off a cliff and largely don't blame the president for that. and i think the second part is back to what john was saying. demographics is destiny. a lot more now than it has been in the past. and we have to almost throw out the conventional wisdom that it's things like the jobs numbers that matter. when you look at the demographics of this race, the president has such a commanding lead among african-americans. among hispanics. that it counterbalances mitt romney's lead among older white voters. and it makes it very difficult. if the electorate is still something like 26% minority, barack obama -- chris: i got to get the romney side. the burden, the remoteness, the fact that not even 30% of the people think he connects with their real lives. >> that's his problem. that's his problem. when you look at the pol
most in the polls blame george w. bush more than barack obama for the way conditions were when he came in. when ask you are we better off now than four years ago, people remember four years ago the economy was going off a cliff and largely don't blame the president for that. and i think the second part is back to what john was saying. demographics is destiny. a lot more now than it has been in the past. and we have to almost throw out the conventional wisdom that it's things like the jobs...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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the dispatch poll, plus two obama, within the margin of error. florida poll, miami herald has right now romney plus six. so we go into this weekend, and republicans hoping this is a replay of 1980 where ronald reagan made a late break. but reagan had started his break a little earlier. by sunday, jimmy carter knew the race was over. if this is a late break, it's a really late break. looking at the polls, romney can do it. the question is, whether the hurricane stopped the momentum for 48 hours and if that will stop him from overtaking the president. >> tom brokaw, you have seen this before, and you have the ultimate political foe of the president giving him such high marks. a republican and a democrat working together, leadership at the highest level, and this has been a problem for the president. >> the president reached across party lines. some of our polling people have been talking to undecided voters out there in colorado and other places, and they saw the president as a leader in a way they had not before, because nothing like a hurricane o
the dispatch poll, plus two obama, within the margin of error. florida poll, miami herald has right now romney plus six. so we go into this weekend, and republicans hoping this is a replay of 1980 where ronald reagan made a late break. but reagan had started his break a little earlier. by sunday, jimmy carter knew the race was over. if this is a late break, it's a really late break. looking at the polls, romney can do it. the question is, whether the hurricane stopped the momentum for 48 hours...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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the state polls, the battle ground state polls suggest and indicate that president obama is ahead in nearly all of them but the national polls have a tie. it is striking to see this difference. it is sobering if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or tied in so many of the states. could the polls be wrong? they could. whether they are, we are wait dog find out. >>chris: you have been traveling the country if weeks and months, jeff, your sense of where this stands 48 hours out? >> much different in battle ground states because of the advertising. people in ohio and people in iowa, florida, and virginia, have a different sense of the race. the reason pennsylvania is in play because there has not been a lot of advertising. in the battleground states and i was in ohio and wisconsin and iowa and what you pick up, there is a real sense of enthusiasm for the romney campaign. i did not run into one republican party who is not happy about electing mitt romney opposed to someone to beat president obama. that is a significant change. on other side, the excitement and enthusiasm i
the state polls, the battle ground state polls suggest and indicate that president obama is ahead in nearly all of them but the national polls have a tie. it is striking to see this difference. it is sobering if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or tied in so many of the states. could the polls be wrong? they could. whether they are, we are wait dog find out. >>chris: you have been traveling the country if weeks and months, jeff, your sense of where this stands 48 hours...
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Nov 4, 2012
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a week earlier, governor romney led the polls, but now you see president obama leads. in the middle class, the president leads by n'k11, value versus the economy. >>> and watching the exhausting travel schedule has been like watching a pair of prize fighters in the 12th round. let's get right out on to the campaign trail, along with kristen welker with the president in cincinnati. >> reporter: good evening to you lester. president obama campaigns here in must-win ohio tonight with music legend stevy wonder kicking thing off. with this race too close to call, president obama is enlisting his biggest su egest s and supporters to help him close this deal. president obama in the final sprint of this deadlocked race, stopping first in concord, new hampshire today. >> let's go get them, new hampshire. >> and then to hollywood, florida. >> are you fired up? >> reporter: mr. obama will travel several thousand miles, stopping in ohio, colorado, wisconsin. today the president enlisted one of the most high profile democrats to fire up voters. former president bill clinton. presid
a week earlier, governor romney led the polls, but now you see president obama leads. in the middle class, the president leads by n'k11, value versus the economy. >>> and watching the exhausting travel schedule has been like watching a pair of prize fighters in the 12th round. let's get right out on to the campaign trail, along with kristen welker with the president in cincinnati. >> reporter: good evening to you lester. president obama campaigns here in must-win ohio tonight...
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Nov 4, 2012
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the difference and margin this polls or obama is going to win. do you have any feelings about that. >> we are under such an avalanche of polling data now like we have never seen before, you can construct a quite plausible scenario for any of the three possibilities you mentioned and probably a couple of others. i think the conventional wisdom is trending towards and obama win, something along the lines of what karl rove and his team pulled off for president bush in 2004. but, i'm by no means certain and there is a striking discrepancy between national polls which tend to be done by and large by older, more seasoned polling firms and state polls, a number of which are done by less established firms, the national polls have it as a tie and the state polls, as it suggested, battle ground state polls, suggest and indicate that president obama is ahead in nearly all of them. it is -- seems striking that there would be this difference. and we don't know. but, it is sobering, if you are a romney supporter to think he is trailing or, just tied, in so man
the difference and margin this polls or obama is going to win. do you have any feelings about that. >> we are under such an avalanche of polling data now like we have never seen before, you can construct a quite plausible scenario for any of the three possibilities you mentioned and probably a couple of others. i think the conventional wisdom is trending towards and obama win, something along the lines of what karl rove and his team pulled off for president bush in 2004. but, i'm by no...
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Oct 27, 2012
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and these tight swing state polls you see no lift at all in the obama camp pain, -- campaign. >> here's the argue. they make. he is still ahead in ohio and wisconsin, still ahead in what they call their fire wall. and even if you give romney all the swing states that they think they're going to win -- virginia, north carolina, florida -- that still only gets him to 248. throw the colorado, 257 electoral votes, needs 2 70 to win. >> couple things about the firewall. you have to question, is obama really ahead in ohio when everyone seems to acknowledge romney's big advantage among independents? this is true of a bunch of swing states. there's a question about who is really ahead. but the other issue is, this is a well-known incumbent late in the race. he is probably persuaded most of the people he is going persuade and his campaign speeches are telling you that. it's a fiercely partisan ideological message he is driving. he is not talking to independents. >> let's get a clip of that. we want to give you an illustration of what james just pointed out. >> not a five point plan by governor r
and these tight swing state polls you see no lift at all in the obama camp pain, -- campaign. >> here's the argue. they make. he is still ahead in ohio and wisconsin, still ahead in what they call their fire wall. and even if you give romney all the swing states that they think they're going to win -- virginia, north carolina, florida -- that still only gets him to 248. throw the colorado, 257 electoral votes, needs 2 70 to win. >> couple things about the firewall. you have to...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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even if your polls, president obama retains the advantage but it has been used to shrink it. just what you said. >> first of all, it has been shrunk by ordinary americans looking at the president's handling of the situation and, feeling that he is coming up way short and my comment about looking at this, i'm looking at this from the perspective of having been in the white house and i cannot imagine that at 4:05 in the afternoon the situation room got word of an attack on an american facility in benghazi they wouldn't have taken it to the president and the national security advisor and the president would not have been engaged and i take the president's word. >> thank you, karl, you said... >> chris: wait, let karl finish. >> blaming the -- >> juan, hold on, let karl finish. >> i did. >> no, he didn't. he didn't. >> no. >> chris: let him finish. >> if the president ordered the assistance be given and none was given until well after 7 hours later. if the cia at the clan des type annex were told three times don't engage and we had men disregard the orders of their superiors and
even if your polls, president obama retains the advantage but it has been used to shrink it. just what you said. >> first of all, it has been shrunk by ordinary americans looking at the president's handling of the situation and, feeling that he is coming up way short and my comment about looking at this, i'm looking at this from the perspective of having been in the white house and i cannot imagine that at 4:05 in the afternoon the situation room got word of an attack on an american...
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Nov 1, 2012
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a detroit news/wdiv poll shows president obama leading 48% to 45%, which is within the poll's 3.78 margin of error. but a new "detroit free press"/wxyz poll has president obama leading by six points, 48% to 42%. now, half of those polled said that the rescue of gm and chrysler was a deciding factor in their support and 2/3 of those people backed president obama. robert reich, it seems like michigan voters have figured out who they want to give credit to for the auto bailout. >> yes, they have. although romney and ryan are doing everything they possibly can, lawrence, to confuse voters, to dissemble, to claim credit for the bailout, to actually say, believe it or not, and unfortunately some people believe big lies when they're told over and over again, that romney was in favor of the bailout and that somehow, by some stretch of the imagination the president is responsible for shrinking chrysler and shrinking gm and sending the jobs out to china. that's actually what they are saying right now. i mean, it takes lies to a new height of prevarication. >> let's listen to the help president obam
a detroit news/wdiv poll shows president obama leading 48% to 45%, which is within the poll's 3.78 margin of error. but a new "detroit free press"/wxyz poll has president obama leading by six points, 48% to 42%. now, half of those polled said that the rescue of gm and chrysler was a deciding factor in their support and 2/3 of those people backed president obama. robert reich, it seems like michigan voters have figured out who they want to give credit to for the auto bailout. >>...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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i'm not sure the same could be said for mitt romney or president obama. in an event like this where a number of states could be looking very, very tough weather conditions that would make it difficult to get to the polls, whose voters are more jazzed to ensure they do? >> the biggest enthusiasm gap we've seen is one from 2008 for president obama compared to that now for president obama. the economy's not doing well, voters reagent to that, and so you're beginning to see roars -- reports of the republican enthuse yam. when i was in school, teachers used to tell us you got to pray, cross your fingers for rain so all the elderly folks don't vote against the school budget because they don't have kids in the school anymore. neil: on the notion, it's a given -- being political correct here, the storms could benefit romney more than the president. we'll see how it goes. i see the logic to it. what do people do in stas who can't vote. extend voting hours? is this a vote extending into november 7th? it's mess ri; right? >> it could get messy. it would be a state-b
i'm not sure the same could be said for mitt romney or president obama. in an event like this where a number of states could be looking very, very tough weather conditions that would make it difficult to get to the polls, whose voters are more jazzed to ensure they do? >> the biggest enthusiasm gap we've seen is one from 2008 for president obama compared to that now for president obama. the economy's not doing well, voters reagent to that, and so you're beginning to see roars -- reports...
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Nov 2, 2012
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, he is up by six in the latest poll, wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, as part of the obama firewall, romney would like to get it, still trails by three points look at new hampshire, while the president leads by two, new hampshire looks like the state that will go romney, romney's economic numbers are better than the president, and the president's job approval rating is less than better there. but i'll show you the crucial state ends up sitting here as ohio, if you look at these numbers here. in the road to 270, the missing ingredient is ohio, brian. >> all right, as we'll be discussing, something tells me, tuesday night, chuck todd at the board, as we continue along the way. why visitors to new york won't be able to visit one of the great icons, for quite a while. as our own richard engel found out earlier today. >>> back with more on this storm, nbc's richard engel got up above the city of new york in a police chopper today to see the damage and the challenge that now lies ahead. here now, some of that vantage point. >> reporter: from here, you can see the skyline, the iconic image
, he is up by six in the latest poll, wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, as part of the obama firewall, romney would like to get it, still trails by three points look at new hampshire, while the president leads by two, new hampshire looks like the state that will go romney, romney's economic numbers are better than the president, and the president's job approval rating is less than better there. but i'll show you the crucial state ends up sitting here as ohio, if you look at these numbers here....
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Oct 27, 2012
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. >> reporter: president obama still leads in ohio by just two points, but in five ohio polls. >> if you add the same result five times in ohio, which you do, you know he is going to carry ohio. >> reporter: but if romney takes ohio and florida, north carolina, virginia, he could win. but so could president obama, even if romney wins ohio and those other states. the tiebreaker would be colorado. whoever wins colorado in that one scenario wins the white house. and raj and jesse, in the latest about in news poll, colorado was tied. back to you. >> thank you very much, steve. >>> let's bring in our chief meteorologist jeff ranieri. and it's supposed to be beautiful. we're here. the weekend is here. >> i know, i know. this is good timing for a lot of us here as that doppler radar scans around, finding dry conditions across the greater northern california region. and one of the things that really helped to get all this sunshine in here, not only inland, but at the coast is this wind out of the north, and also slightly offshore about 5 to 10 miles per hour. that's all we needed to give us
. >> reporter: president obama still leads in ohio by just two points, but in five ohio polls. >> if you add the same result five times in ohio, which you do, you know he is going to carry ohio. >> reporter: but if romney takes ohio and florida, north carolina, virginia, he could win. but so could president obama, even if romney wins ohio and those other states. the tiebreaker would be colorado. whoever wins colorado in that one scenario wins the white house. and raj and...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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right now, the obama mask is leading romney 60% to 40%, but the latest rasmussen poll showing obama trailing romney while the new york sometimes shows just the opposite. in other words, we'll find out on election day. >>> because halloween could be rainy, some folks are celebrating early. we have a couple of ideas. the eke land zoo is holding another boo at the zoo tomorrow with a costume parade, face painting, candy, and pumpkins and goodies for the animals as well. the san francisco zoo is holding a similar event. and then in the south bay, you can always check out a haunted trail and pumpkin patch. the moreland woods in san jose, there will be food trucks, baked goods, games. admission is free there. >>> and right now one more check of what we're doing to expect for the weekend and halloween. >> i'm going have to give out extra candy this year. >> absolutely. >> the seven-day forecast is showing no problem for halloween events for the weekend into early next week. the weather is going to stay dry. fairly warm. but it does look like starring off wednesday morning, hall screen morning in th
right now, the obama mask is leading romney 60% to 40%, but the latest rasmussen poll showing obama trailing romney while the new york sometimes shows just the opposite. in other words, we'll find out on election day. >>> because halloween could be rainy, some folks are celebrating early. we have a couple of ideas. the eke land zoo is holding another boo at the zoo tomorrow with a costume parade, face painting, candy, and pumpkins and goodies for the animals as well. the san francisco...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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president obama is out on the road today. governor romney taking a different tone after hurricane sandy. we get the latest this morning from nbc's tracie potts. >> reporter: president obama is back on the campaign trail today. new nbc polls show him ahead by six in iowa, three in wisconsin and two in new hampshire, but this week he's focused on new jersey. >> we are not going to tolerate red tape, we're not going to tolerate bureaucracy. >> reporter: touring storm damage with republican rival governor chris christie. >> i cannot thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion. >> there will be some folks who criticize me for complimenting them. well, you know what, i speak the truth. >> reporter: analysts say the president is picking up political points. >> the message that christie is sending voters is that obama is doing a good job. he's not a scary, socialist person, he's somebody that can be trusted. >> reporter: governor romney criticized the government's record helping small business. he never mention
president obama is out on the road today. governor romney taking a different tone after hurricane sandy. we get the latest this morning from nbc's tracie potts. >> reporter: president obama is back on the campaign trail today. new nbc polls show him ahead by six in iowa, three in wisconsin and two in new hampshire, but this week he's focused on new jersey. >> we are not going to tolerate red tape, we're not going to tolerate bureaucracy. >> reporter: touring storm damage with...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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i went to the polling station and pulled back the curtain and voted for barack obama. >> sean: joining me now with reaction from americans for prosperity jennifer steve >> gives me free birth control and. >> that a all we need. the president is not the first one to use virgin voting humor, right? >> really. >> don't you remember? don't you remember who said i know what it feels like to vote republican for the first time? it actually hurts a little bit but then. >> sean: who said that? >> then it feels just great. >> ronald reagan. >> sean: he did not! he did not! >> i need to fact check that. fact check that. >> sean: i have to fact check that. was that a regan ad? >> ronald reagan. he was quoting a line. >> he was a quoting. >> he was talking to someone about being a democrat. talking about being a democrat and then crossing the line and voting republican. >> i don't find this ad insulting at all. what i find insulting that the president of the united states allows the benito attack to happen and allows a united states navy seal to die after he calls for backup and nobody from the whi
i went to the polling station and pulled back the curtain and voted for barack obama. >> sean: joining me now with reaction from americans for prosperity jennifer steve >> gives me free birth control and. >> that a all we need. the president is not the first one to use virgin voting humor, right? >> really. >> don't you remember? don't you remember who said i know what it feels like to vote republican for the first time? it actually hurts a little bit but then....
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Nov 4, 2012
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you, yourself, have said polls are subjective and you were an obama supporter in 2008. >>. >> i try to provide scientific objectivity and looking at it as a mathematician, and someone who has a good track record in baseball, poker and other fields. i think journalistic objectivity is where you recycle talking points from both campaigns. maybe people people in that field have problem understanding we are looking at history, math and data to guide our view of the race and we are telling you we might be wrong. we are telling you the odds we will be wrong and we have a good track record. if you have an approach, looking at data in an objective way, like an investor watching this show might it is the same way we do it. it is more objective in some ways to spit ball feels to say i feel like it will be a close election, or i feel romney may come back rather than looking at what the voters say in the polls. >> good to have you on the program. see you soon. >> thank you. >>> up next on the "wall street journal report," in the dark but not totally disconnected. how associate media kept many info
you, yourself, have said polls are subjective and you were an obama supporter in 2008. >>. >> i try to provide scientific objectivity and looking at it as a mathematician, and someone who has a good track record in baseball, poker and other fields. i think journalistic objectivity is where you recycle talking points from both campaigns. maybe people people in that field have problem understanding we are looking at history, math and data to guide our view of the race and we are...
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it showed barack obama as a commander in chief. the gallup poll was knocked off. it was his best poll. it showed the two competing businesses. not only did you have chris christie out there, but you also have bob mcdonnell of west virginia, another republican surrogate, who said the obama administration's response has been incredibly fast. >> i wouldn't go that far. they came in separately and they left separately. but sometimes governors have to do what governors do and presidents have to do what presidents do. i get that. and i think for the moment, your man probably got some. john, i want to ask you, i've been reading in the newspapers -- you correct me if i'm wrong. your superpack and other republican super packs have put $4 million into pennsylvania. team obama, only $625,000. for $4 million, jonathan, you want a rate of return better than a utility executive. you want to actually win the race in that state. >> we wouldn't be spending the money if we didn't think that there were real opportunities in michigan, pennsylvania, and minnesota, as well as wisconsin
it showed barack obama as a commander in chief. the gallup poll was knocked off. it was his best poll. it showed the two competing businesses. not only did you have chris christie out there, but you also have bob mcdonnell of west virginia, another republican surrogate, who said the obama administration's response has been incredibly fast. >> i wouldn't go that far. they came in separately and they left separately. but sometimes governors have to do what governors do and presidents have...
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our poll yesterday found a 47-47 split between romney and obama of unlikely voters. we had had obama with a significant lead at the end of the summer and in the aftermath of the political conventions. but the first debate changed that dramatically as a poll we took a few days afterwards showed. but i think that mr. silver is making a broader point, which is the underlying divisions in the public -- i'm talking about ideological and partisan -- are deeply rooted and it is not true that everybody has made a decision and that the public is totally locked up. but the fundamental contours of the 50-50 split in there country are kind of wired into us right now and that provides some kind of anchor to the polls that i think is consistent with his analysis. host: what about the impact of this storm on polling with only one week to go? guest: we are taking a chose look at this. our most recent poll finished interviewing sun night. -- sunday night and we were working on it yesterdayat this. our most recent poll finished interviewing sun night. -- sunday night and we were worki
our poll yesterday found a 47-47 split between romney and obama of unlikely voters. we had had obama with a significant lead at the end of the summer and in the aftermath of the political conventions. but the first debate changed that dramatically as a poll we took a few days afterwards showed. but i think that mr. silver is making a broader point, which is the underlying divisions in the public -- i'm talking about ideological and partisan -- are deeply rooted and it is not true that everybody...
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this is a bad sign for president obama, and we see it reflected in the polls as well. if you take a look, allup says 15 percent of the people had ved early. they were breaking for romney by 52-46. this week to reports 19 peent of those surveyed said they had voted. a break for romney y 50-43. obama won the early vote last time around, according to puke, by 19 points or was winning at this point by 19 points and now he's losing it by seven. that is more than enough to flip the election lou: two thin, if we can go back to your bard, immediately apparent command one is that there is a 5-4 margin if i read correctly, democrats over republicans in the early vote in 2008 that ratio was over two times -- two tmes. >> almost two to one. and we are talking here about less than a 5-4 margin. we are talking about 98,00 difference on the base, and this number will continue to grow. there will be probably, the republicans are probably going to narrow that gap between the two to somewhere around 85 or 90,000 votes. and i repeat, on election day is a starkly that republicans have car
this is a bad sign for president obama, and we see it reflected in the polls as well. if you take a look, allup says 15 percent of the people had ved early. they were breaking for romney by 52-46. this week to reports 19 peent of those surveyed said they had voted. a break for romney y 50-43. obama won the early vote last time around, according to puke, by 19 points or was winning at this point by 19 points and now he's losing it by seven. that is more than enough to flip the election lou: two...
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Nov 1, 2012
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. >> reporter: lynn, reuters ipsos, one of the latest national polls out there, gives president obama just a one percentage point lead nationally. that is a tie as the president heads back out today to speak with voters. president obama's back on the campaign trail. polls show him up by six in iowa, two in wisconsin and two in new hampshire, but this week he's focused on new jersey. >> we are not going to tolerate red tape, we are not going to tolerate bureaucracy. >> reporter: touring storm damage with republican rival governor chris christie. >> i cannot thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion for our state. there will be some folks who will criticize me for complimenting him. well, you know what, i speak the truth. >> reporter: analysts say the president's picking up political points. >> the message that christie is sending voters is that obama is doing a good job. he's not a scary, socialist person, that he's somebody who can be trusted. >> reporter: in florida, governor romney criticized the administration's record helping small business. >> sometimes,
. >> reporter: lynn, reuters ipsos, one of the latest national polls out there, gives president obama just a one percentage point lead nationally. that is a tie as the president heads back out today to speak with voters. president obama's back on the campaign trail. polls show him up by six in iowa, two in wisconsin and two in new hampshire, but this week he's focused on new jersey. >> we are not going to tolerate red tape, we are not going to tolerate bureaucracy. >>...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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CURRENT
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a poll putting president obama up 50-45 and then public policy polling, 50-45 those are both five-point leads and then the university of cincinnati has obama with a two-point lead. as you look at that, as far as polling goes six days before an election if we weren't worried about being wrong, etc. we'll put that in the books. >> i don't know if we'll put it in the books. ohio is one of these volatile states. you just want know it can change. you don't look at the 5-5-2 today, you look at the days that the president has been ahead in the poll, even in the margin of error. >> cenk: so let's get a sense of where they stand. obama is leading 48-45 according to the detroit news. according to epic--is that your poll. >> that's a poll i took earlier today. six-point poll. >> cenk: and not michael's poll. 48-42, six-point lead. when you go to wisconsin 51-43 and 51-43. that's marquette. >> that just came out. that's a poll that a lot of journalists in wisconsin--i just talked to someone in wisconsin lee berquist said we're all waiting for that poll. that poll is definitive. >> cenk: so wisconsi
a poll putting president obama up 50-45 and then public policy polling, 50-45 those are both five-point leads and then the university of cincinnati has obama with a two-point lead. as you look at that, as far as polling goes six days before an election if we weren't worried about being wrong, etc. we'll put that in the books. >> i don't know if we'll put it in the books. ohio is one of these volatile states. you just want know it can change. you don't look at the 5-5-2 today, you look at...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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you average out the polling president obama has a two or three point lead. we haven't had much new polling in the last week. but the race in the public polling narrowed -- we've gone through ups and downs for much of the year president obama has led in the vast majority of public polls but his lead was more substantial in the first part of the year. it narrowed t after paul ryan was picked for the republican ticket. it opened up a little bit after the conventions. and now it's back down to, like i said, in that one to three point range after the first debate where you saw a lot of narrowing here and other states. but if you look in the context of the battleground, we're one of the states where president obama in one of the eight or nine states that are being contested. so there is a potential firewall for president obama if you look at ohio and wisconsin and nevada and iowa but it's only potential because all those states are very close. so we're seeing a pretty fears republican effort as well to flip wisconsin. that would have a dramatic impact on the elect
you average out the polling president obama has a two or three point lead. we haven't had much new polling in the last week. but the race in the public polling narrowed -- we've gone through ups and downs for much of the year president obama has led in the vast majority of public polls but his lead was more substantial in the first part of the year. it narrowed t after paul ryan was picked for the republican ticket. it opened up a little bit after the conventions. and now it's back down to,...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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the latest poll showing governor romney closing the gap. he is is now tied with president obama be. each of them with 49% of wisconsin's likely voters. the national polls painting an even grimmer picture for the president. this poll showing governor romney ahead by three. the governor with 50% of the vote and president obama with 47%. dick morris joins us. good evening, dick. >> good. i heard a great joke yesterday. if obama is reelected imagine the mess he will inherit. >> okay. i'm sure that the obama campaign will like that but the romney cam -- won't like that but the romney camp will enjoy that a bit. looking at the polls tonight, wisconsin in four years ago, president obama stormed the state by 14 points. this does seem to be a seismic shift in the state. >> there is. wisconsin has become a republican state by virtue of the incredibly intense organizational efforts there of governor scott walker's people, americans for prosperity and various other political groups that have really mobilized the free market forces in the state. they have been through a recall election. a senate
the latest poll showing governor romney closing the gap. he is is now tied with president obama be. each of them with 49% of wisconsin's likely voters. the national polls painting an even grimmer picture for the president. this poll showing governor romney ahead by three. the governor with 50% of the vote and president obama with 47%. dick morris joins us. good evening, dick. >> good. i heard a great joke yesterday. if obama is reelected imagine the mess he will inherit. >> okay....
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was suggesting, just about an hour ago on a conference call that they had, the romney pollster, neil newhouse, was saying that he doesn't buy some of these national polls, because he was just pointing out that the quinnipiac "new york times" poll, and said that was weighted more heavily toward registered voters than likely voters and thought that it sort of overshowed a little bit of enthusiasm for democrats, and i keep hearing this over and over again, from republicans, chris, and that is, they don't believe that obama voters will turn out as much as the obama campaign expects. these sides do believe very different thi
the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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this is the first time in our polling that we've seen romney with a double digit lead over obama. that would be a huge turn arn if the numbers held, a 20-point net turn around from the election in 2008. >> paul: okay, if that's true, and i agree with you the polls are showing that movement of independents to romney, if that's right and a big switch from 2008, why doesn't romney have a more comfortable lead at least 2 or 3 points in these polls? >> 90% of the disagreement in the polls right now, paul, involves differing assumptions about the makeup of the electorate. if we have an electorate that looks like 2004, with equal numbers of democrats and republicans turning out, then a double digit lead for romney among independents means he wins comfortably. >> paul: right. >> on the other hand if we have an electorate that looks like 2008 with 7 percentage points more democrats than republicans in the electorate, then that's probably enough to save obama, even if he loses independents by a dozen points. >> well, where-- >> it's all in the makeup. >> paul: where do you think the recogni
this is the first time in our polling that we've seen romney with a double digit lead over obama. that would be a huge turn arn if the numbers held, a 20-point net turn around from the election in 2008. >> paul: okay, if that's true, and i agree with you the polls are showing that movement of independents to romney, if that's right and a big switch from 2008, why doesn't romney have a more comfortable lead at least 2 or 3 points in these polls? >> 90% of the disagreement in the...